"..Global population growth may peak sooner than expected if the lot of women continues to improve, according to a study that says the world’s population could be 2 billion below UN forecasts by the end of the century.
Such a fall would remove some of the projected strain on natural resources but would present governments with stark policy choices over migration and the economy.
The world’s population will peak at 9.7 billion in 2064 and decline to 8.8 billion by the end of the century, according to research led by the University of Washington in the US and published in the Lancet."
I realize this is beyond the scope of the study, but what interests me is what happens post-2100. Will the population stabilize afterwards, or will it continue to decline? Heck, might it even be reversed?
Post by creature386 on Jul 29, 2020 22:05:22 GMT 5
From what I know, demographers almost unanimously agree that forecasts that go farther in the future than a hundred years are impossible. Thus, what happens to the human population post-2100 is probably in the realm of science fiction, but still an interesting topic. Personally, I believe whether our population grows or declines depends on what happens in the next hundred years. If we unleash some major global disaster, it will decline. If medicine improves and drastically lengthens the mean global lifespans, it might rise (and stabilize/fall again once all countries have roughly the living standards the first world does today).
Post by Infinity Blade on Jul 29, 2020 22:34:22 GMT 5
From what I know, demographers almost unanimously agree that forecasts that go farther in the future than a hundred years are impossible.
That figures. I guess the reason I'm interested is because I question if even eight decades is long enough for people to get their hopes up about population reduction in the long term (if they believe population reduction is a good thing).